Then they run it again 50 more times, tweaking the variables each time, producing a different result and a probability. Hourly 10 Day Radar Video Hurricane Central Tropical Storm Jose Expected to Strengthen in the Bermuda Triangle May Come Close to U.S. Meteorologists run the model and get a possible path for a storm.
#Hurricane track jose series#
The “spaghetti” visualization - what looks like a series of multicolored lines - is what Pydynowski called an “ensemble.” It is expected to turn northeast tonight. “It’s not necessarily the radius of the hurricane, in terms of how big the storm itself it actually is,” Pydynowski said. The storm, positioned 240 miles east-northeast of Cape Hatteras, N.C., was headed north at 9 mph at 5 a.m.
The cone also represents possible impact. Since the first intentional flight into a hurricane by Joseph B. It continued tracking to the northwest until it began its clockwise turn in the western Atlantic on Sept. Before forecasters can predict a hurricanes track or intensity. Five days ahead, the wide mouth of that cone represents a variable path of about 200 miles. Jose retained major hurricane status as it passed just north of the Leeward Islands. Over a one-day period, a storm’s path can be reliably predicted, so the base of the cone is thin - meteorologists have confidence in their predictions.īut, as meteorologists attempt to predict more and more days ahead, the cone widens, representing less confidence. Hurricane Jose, sitting out in the Atlantic on Wednesday, is expected to make a slow clockwise rotation over the next 36 to 48 hours that could bring it closer to the US and the Bahamas. Although Jose’s top winds were increased from 80 to 90 mph based on. Think of it as variabilities in confidence levels. Located about 350 miles southeast of Cape Hatteras at 11 am EDT Sunday, Jose was hanging in as a Category 1 hurricane. Here are the latest forecasts from the the NOAA. The “cone” represents both the possible track and impact of a storm, but not, Pydynowksi said, the actual size of the storm system. Bringing you the latest Hurricane Jose path updates, storm track, weather models and maps here.
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